This article written in french by Nicholas Pereira was automatically translated using AI
As of April 7, the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) is on track to win a majority of 192 seats in the federal election scheduled for Monday, April 28.
This data comes from the Qc125 polling aggregator.
This would represent an increase of 30 seats for the LPC compared to the last federal election held in September 2021. It would also mark a fourth consecutive mandate at the head of the country for this political party.
The Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) is in second place, with a projected 125 seats—six more than four years ago.
The Bloc Québécois (BQ) is projected to come in third with 16 seats, ahead of the New Democratic Party (NDP) and the Green Party of Canada, which are expected to win 9 and 1 seats respectively in the next Parliament.
The BQ and the NDP are the main losers from the LPC’s recent surge in the polls, as these projected seat counts represent a loss of 16 compared to their 2021 results.
Furthermore, according to Qc125, the Liberals are projected to win the most seats in 10 of Canada’s 13 provinces and territories. Only Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba are currently leaning in favor of the Conservatives.
In Laval
According to the polling aggregator, all four ridings in Laval are expected to remain Liberal following the current election.
Indeed, each of them is projected to have over a 99% probability of victory for the Liberal candidates.
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin is the riding with the closest race. Qc125 projects an LPC win with 55% of the vote, ahead of the BQ (20%) and the CPC (19%).
It’s worth noting that Laval’s four ridings—Alfred-Pellan, Laval—Les Îles, Marc-Aurèle-Fortin, and Vimy—have all elected LPC candidates in every election since 2015.
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